19 September 2024
International

How capitalism developed in Taiwan and South Korea – any parallels with China today? Part Two

The experience of economic planning in
South Korea was broadly speaking, similar to that of Taiwan. What most
characterises the Korean experience is the prominent role of the
chaebols, the giant conglomerates, in developing the economy.

Chaebols in Korea and in China

Port of Posan. Photo: Ju Seok OhThe
chaebols, these veritable behemoths are not a Korean invention. They
are a local version of the Japanese zaibatsu (after World War Two called
keiretsu), immense industrial and financial groups that have dominated
the Japanese economy since the Meiji revolution.

Like Taiwan, at
the end of the Second World War, Korea was largely a rural economy, with
a very low standard of living, comparable to that of sub-Saharan
Africa. The only existing modern factories were the remnants of the
Japanese occupation. Due to the war and the continuous confrontation
with the Stalinist north, the Korean approach to growth was based more
directly on repression: less Confucius more Bonaparte. Labour movement
activists were jailed and tortured, yellow unions were set up to
counteract the “red” organisations, i.e. the genuine unions. It is worth
noting that the role of these yellow unions was very similar to that of
the official trade unions in China today. The difference is that in
Korea the workers also have real unions, though heavily repressed by the
state.

Just like in Taiwan, when the Korean state started to plan
the economy, there was not much to plan. As we have already noted for
Taiwan, we are not dealing here with the Italian IRI or the British NEB
(National Enterprise Board), created to manage an already existing if
ailing industry.

The Korean example is particularly important
because it did not start with economic planning. Planning was the
inevitable plan B after the “market economy” had failed. An Economic
Development Council was created right after the end of the Korean War,
but it never worked because it was based on the private sector having
the the primary role while the state’s role was reduced to providing a
general orientation for the private companies. The Korean elite were
lulled by the Americans into believing that that was the right track. We
have one example from an analysis of the Rand Corporation: “Korea also
has a relatively active and experienced private business sector which
can be a powerful force in the country’s industrial development”[1].
This strategy, completely out of touch with reality, was imposed by US
imperialism on the Chang Myun government. As Korea completely relied on
US aid during and after the war against the Stalinist north, no one
dared to object. It proved to be a total failure, and a dangerous one at
that, because North Korea, with the help of other deformed workers’
states, was rapidly creating its own modern industry. The Korean army
grew impatient at the total inability of the national ruling class to
stand up to the Americans even though this could have led to a new war
with North Korea. After some years, the army had had enough.

In
1961, general Park Chung Hee, that had had a direct experience of the
Japanese economy and state, dissolved the government and abandoned its
economic strategy and started to industrialise the economy by very
different methods. In order to win popular favour, the Park junta used
anti-corruption propaganda that verged on anti-capitalist arguments. The
army even jailed some big capitalists for corruption, forcing others to
retire. Anti-capitalist propaganda was very common on the part of the
military elite at that time in many parts of the world. On this topic,
Park was following in the steps of Nasser or Nehru and many others
nationalist leaders in the former colonial world. The peculiarity here
was that he used this rhetoric with the help and as loyal ally of US
imperialism. Both had no choice but to support each other. For instance,
some years later Park sent hundreds of thousands of soldiers to Vietnam
to help US imperialism.

The military government created an
Economic Planning Board and five-year plans. The first plan started in
1962. The aims of the different plans were typical of the same
export-led economic strategy used also in Taiwan and in Japan: to create
the basic heavy industries (setting up large companies) to start
exporting and hence amassing resources to finance strong investment and
economic growth.

A difference with Taiwan is that Korea did have
big companies: the chaebols. However, in the first period after the war,
they were not doing what was needed according to the economic interests
of the country. Thus, after the Park coup, despite the fact that the
army had not formally nationalised the chaebols, these were integrated
within the five year plans. The state oriented or, more precisely,
pushed the chaebols towards specific economic sectors, financing their
investment through state banks. Meanwhile, the more reluctant owners of
the chaebols were arrested for corruption. The others got the message
and never dared to obstruct the junta again.

In the beginning,
chaebols, no more than a handful, were created copying the model of the
Japanese conglomerates. Often it was the case that they had been set up
by Japanese themselves during the military occupation. Park did not wait
for the small and medium sized companies to grow until they could reach
the levels of western and Japanese competitors, because this would
never have happened on a “free market” basis. On the contrary, the
Korean state applied the law of combined development, starting off from
where the advanced capitalist countries had arrived: they set up giant
monopolies. Although the chaebols were not formally expropriated, the
government nationalised or created from scratch entire economic sectors:
steel production, public utilities, chemical industry,
telecommunications, to provide the chaebols with cheap raw materials and
infrastructure – all paid by the state. The history of the steel
industry is a typical example. In the 1960s, Park decided that Korea was
to become a major steel producer. The “market” was not the solution;
economic planning was:

“In the 1960s, the Park
government concluded that self sufficiency in steel and the construction
of an integrated steelworks were essential to economic development.
Because South Korea had not had a modern steel plant before 1968, many
foreign and domestic businesses were sceptical of Seoul’s decision to
invest heavily in constructing a steel plant. Despite the scepticism,
however, POSCO began production in 1972, just four years after the
company’s inauguration in April 1968 with only thirty-nine employees.”[2]

Japan
provided part of the financial and technical assistance. POSCO started
production in 1972 for the domestic market. The success of the company
was immense:

“By the late 1980s, POSCO was the fifth
biggest steel company in the non-communist world, with an annual
production approaching 12 million tons… In terms of productivity,
POSCO was rated the world’s best steel manufacturer throughout the late
1980s and also was rated at the top in terms of facilities.” (cit.).

That’s how Korea became a major competitor in the steel industry.

In
steel as in the other sectors, the companies (public firms and
chaebols) were given production targets. Also thanks to political
repression, wages were kept low so that Korea could export much of its
production. Moreover, in 1961 Park nationalised the banks in order to
have control over the levers of investment, while creating rural
cooperative banks to help the modernisation of the primary sector. From
1961 to 1987, the government also set interest rates. Control of the
financial sector was a basic pillar of the junta’s strategy:

“The
government’s direct control over all institutional credit further
extended Park’s command over the business community. The Economic
Planning Board was created in 1961 and became the nerve center of Park’s
plan to promote economic development.” (cit.)

In
this strategy, the relationship between the chaebols and the Korean
state was an organic one. The US army summarised it as follows:

“Government-chaebol
cooperation was essential to the subsequent economic growth and
astounding successes that began in the early 1960s. Driven by the urgent
need to turn the economy away from consumer goods and light industries
toward heavy, chemical, and import-substitution industries, political
leaders and government planners relied on the ideas and cooperation of
the chaebol leaders. The government provided the blueprints for industrial expansion; the chaebol realised the plans. However, the chaebol-led
industrialisation accelerated the monopolistic and oligopolistic
concentration of capital and economically profitable activities in the
hands of a limited number of conglomerates.” (cit.)

Correctly,
the strategists of the US army underline the main consequence of this
relationship: Korea became the most concentrated economy in the world.
Chaebols grew more rapidly than the economy as a whole, in a period when
Korea was experiencing decades of explosive development. In the 1980s
an increase of 20-30% in their assets and turnover each year became the
norm. In 1997, the five biggest chaebols were 20 times their size of
1985. Consequently, their weight in industrial production jumped from 16
to 40%. At the end of the 1980s, the first four chaebols had a
dimension comparable to two thirds of the country’s GDP. Besides their
size, the chaebols had experienced a transformation in their
composition, becoming active in the most dynamic economic sectors. In
fact, they passed trough the different stages of technological
revolution – from textiles to heavy industries, to high techs – in a
matter of a few decades instead of centuries. Economic planning via the
chaebols was a success and these giant conglomerates grew to world
dimensions. Nowadays, everyone has heard of Hyundai cars and Samsung
electronics products, brands that not so lonmg ago were completely
unknown outside Korea.

The quantitative growth of the chaebols
transformed qualitatively their political nature. In the 1960s the
chaebols, although formally private, were completely subdued to the
government, having no choice but to follow Park directives. However, in
the 1980s, chaebols became less and less junior partners of the
government. As in Taiwan, the more the country developed, the more the
big capitalists grew wary of economic planning. In that period, the EPB
was becoming marginal and in 1994 it was merged with the Ministry of
Finance, i.e. it was liquidated. After 1983, the government started
large scale privatisations and liberalisations. In line with the new
policy, in 1987 Seoul announced that it was going to transform POSCO
into a private company.

The chaebols were the main beneficiaries
of the privatisations, to the point that in 1997 the government was
forced to pass a law to prevent them from acquiring controlling
interests in newly privatised firms. However, at that time, the economic
priorities of the country had changed. Korea was heavily struck by the
crisis that hit the “Asian tigers” and the chaebols were the most hit.
Eleven of the thirty biggest chaebols collapsed. Korean banks ceased to
lend them money to avoid being dragged into the abyss and the state had
to intervene to save them. The nature of this intervention revealed that
the economic development mechanism in Korea had completely turned
around. Now the chaebols called the shots and their puppets in the
government obsequiously complied.

What the chaebols tell us about China

As
in Taiwan, economic planning in Korea was a success. The annual
industrial production growth rate was about 25 percent; there was a
fivefold increase in GNP between 1965 and 1978. In the mid-1970s,
exports increased by an average of 45 percent a year. Also the rate of
profit was exceptional, especially for the chaebols. The development of
chaebols was such a success that they were used as an example even in
Portugal when in 1975 minister Cravinho was looking for a model to
nationalise the banks.

Capital strategists define these kinds of
economy “guided capitalism”. The final benefits of economic growth went
to the capitalist class but only after many decades of state-led
economic planning. In the beginning the chaebols could not have stood up
to international competition, just as a lion cub cannot hunt alone in
the savannah. The Korean state nurtured the chaebols for decades,
financing them, defending them with protectionist measures and exchange
rate controls. When they were ready to take on other multinationals,
liberalisation policies were used to help them grow on a world scale.

It
is not difficult to see a similar strategy under way in China today.
That the Chinese government had strived to created national champions
for at least a decade is nothing new; neither is it a surprise that they
have been copying the chaebols since the 1990s. For instance, in the
very well documented book by professor Nolan China and the Global Economy: National Champions, Industrial Policy and the Big Business Revolution (published
just a decade ago), the author, analysing thoroughly the policy of
creating national champions, points out that the big Chinese firms were
not yet ready for a confrontation with the biggest competitors and they
had to wait for at least five to eight years. In the banking sector,
this expected time span proved to be correct. Chinese banks are now the
biggest in the world and growing many times faster than their biggest
competitors. In other sectors an open confrontation with multinational
corporations on the world market is premature. In any case, the crisis
has helped China’s big companies to face up to competitors around the
world.

Of course there are differences between China and Korea.
First of all, the bureaucracy of the CCP is hostile to a pure keiretsu
or chaebol style trend of development, i.e. the creation of immense
conglomerates producing everything. They would be too powerful to
control. National champions have to be big and strong but more
specialised and focused firms. In this sense China is following the US
multinationals more than the Japanese ones. Secondly, the creation of
big Chinese multinationals is taking place in an economic environment by
far more liberal than that in Korea or Taiwan or even Japan at the same
stage of development. For instance, China is hardly protectionist and
even in very sensitive economic sectors, such as banking, state control
is more relaxed than it was in Korea or Taiwan in the 1960s and 1970s.
Thirdly, the Chinese internal market is huge and growing fast, providing
the Chinese national champions with another lever by which to grow, and
not just the export-led strategy that was the only choice for the
Korean chaebols. We could mention other differences as well, but the
core strategy is absolutely the same, only carried on in a different
period and different environment.

The CCP bureaucracy is aware
that, for now, the Chinese champions are not able, in general, to defeat
competitors from the imperialist countries. They have resisted the
crazy advice of the IMF and other globalisation enthusiasts that they
should rapidly privatise their best companies. This would have made the
country once more totally dependent on foreign capital. The bureaucrats
are doing business with imperialism but with the aim of creating their
own chaebols, i.e. their own multinational companies, the backbone of
any developed capitalist country, the heavy artillery of any serious
imperialist contender. They are following in the steps of other Asian
elites towards becoming a fully fledged capitalist class. However, while
Japan, Taiwan and Korea developed during the biggest boom capitalism
has ever experienced, China is growing just when capitalism has entered
an epoch of stagnation and slump. Therefore, the goal of the Chinese
bureaucracy will not be easy to attain, especially once the Chinese
working class starts to move.